Is this thing on? I hope you guys are still around reading this. Last week was just a small recess with the Match Play cutting off our ability to game on many of the fantasy golf websites. We are back, and in a big way, at this week’s PLAYERS.
The course is TPC Sawgrass. It’s a par 72 Pete Dye design that doesn’t have much length. It means positioning off the tee is crucial, and scrambling will be key on these tiny greens. Even though they are small, the greens still pack a big punch. They are generally some of the hardest greens to tackle and that is why we will see plenty of three-putts this week. Good putters can find a leg up with the flat stick.
Players to Watch
Zach Johnson… Unfortunately I do not have Serge still available to me in OAD, so ZJ will have to do. He’s gained 37.547 strokes over the field at this venue since 2010 (most in the field). Also posted three straight top 20s prior to missing the cut at the Heritage. Currently sits at 171st in SG:Putting, which is about 150 spots too low for his putting talents.
Charles Howell III… Has one top 50 here in 13 tries. Just say no to CH3 this week.
Russell Henley… The UGA Bulldog gets the award for player going most under-the-radar this week. I haven’t heard a peep about him this week but he’s posted three of six career PLAYERS round at 3+ strokes better than the field. Charley Hoffman and Graham DeLaet could also fit in this category of under-the-radar, high-upside options.
Rory McIlroy… The World #1 gets cranky when you take driver out of his hands and that will be the case often this week. Add in fatigue from a long week at the Match Play, and we have potential trouble. Save him for better weeks, I’d say.
Sean O’Hair… Just keeps playing well. He’s got a renewed confidence in his game and that has put him back on the radar in all formats. He’s gained 14.215 strokes over the field in his last 14 TPC Sawgrass rounds, so why not?
20-20 Club… The 20/20 has been barren over the past few events but this week we have two that fit the bill. Jimmy Walker AND Matt Kuchar both qualify. This pair has each gained 20+ strokes at TPC Sawgrass since 2010 and also gained 20+ strokes over the past eight weeks of stroke-play events. Heyyyo.
Justin Thomas… Has to be getting tired of being known as “Spieth’s good buddy.” Still looking to make a splash but this course doesn’t cater to bombers so it’ll be an uphill battle this week.
Phil Mickelson… I wish we had more information regarding his W/D at last week’s Match Play. He was rounding into form and it’s possible he didn’t want to ruin that on a couple tiring match-play contests. Should be a great option this week unless there is more behind that W/D that we don’t know about.
Tiger Woods… Love that he’s committing to so many tournaments (for his standards). Let’s me know he feels good physically and also looking to tidy up his mental game. It’s going to be nice having Tiger as a reliable top-tier option moving forward.
Patrick Reed… Lost 8.732 strokes to the field in his PLAYERS debut, couldn’t make it out of a relatively easy match-play grouping last week, has never conquered a Pete Dye course, and missed the cut the week prior to the Match Play. I will be in full FADE REED MODE personally.
Bo Van Pelt… Remember when BvP was a lock to finish in the top 30 every week? That was just a few years ago and I think we may have a flashback this week. Since 2010, his median round here has been +2.537 strokes better than the field. That’s remarkable and first in the field (unless we count the small sample size of Spieth’s debut). This makes Van Pelt a great punt play in DFS formats.
THE PLAYERS Cheatsheet… I’ve released a handy-dandy cheatsheet for this week on DraftKings.
Head over to Daily Fantasy Solutions and grab it for just five bucks. This is includes guys that fit the stat profile, golfers that are in good form, course history, recommended cash game targets and more!
Top 25 for the 2015 PLAYERS
1. Jordan Spieth
2. Rory McIlroy
3. Sergio Garcia
4. Jim Furyk
5. Matt Kuchar
6. Jimmy Walker
7. Zach Johnson
8. Kevin Na
9. Lee Westwood
10. Adam Scott
11. Jason Day
12. Bubba Watson
13. Henrik Stenson
14. Russell Knox
15. Justin Rose
16. Phil Mickelson
17. Hideki Matsuyama
18. Bill Haas
19. Dustin Johnson
20. Luke Donald
21. Tiger Woods
22. Steve Stricker
23. Daniel Summerhays
24. Ryan Palmer
25. Patrick Reed