Portugal Masters Fantasy Preview

As the PGA TOUR wraps up their season, we have a full-field event overseas in Portugal.

The course may have a new name, but it’s the same course that has been used here for years (Victoria GC). The course is described as flat and exposed with bentgrass/poa greens. There is water in play on seven holes and the field generally racks up the birdies in bunches here. It’s a week where we can likely put one or two golfers per round on ’59 watch’.

With past champs that include Paddy Harrington and Shane Lowry, I can’t help but think there might be some links flavor to this course.

For my correlated-course experiment, I’ve collected a bushel of courses that could fit based on course layout, location, scoring conditions, and grass types. The events I’m looking at include: 2015 & 2016 Italian Open, 2016 & 2017 KLM Open, 2015 & 2017 BMW International, 2015 Scottish, 2015 British Masters, 2016 Porsche Euro, 2017 Open de Portugal, and 2017 Rocco Forte.

Let’s see who could fare well based on this week’s setup…

Top Performers in Weak Fields (since 2015)

Joost Luiten
Thomas Aiken
George Coetzee
Mikko Korhonen
Gregory Bourdy
Dean Burmester
Alexander Levy
Thomas Pieters
Wade Ormsby
Robert Rock

Top Performers on Bentgrass Greens (since 2015)

Andy Sullivan
Danny Willett
Russell Knox
Hao Tong Li
Joost Luiten
Thomas Aiken
Richard Sterne
Bradley Dredge
Shane Lowry
Thomas Pieters

Top Performers in Europe (since 2015)

Andy Sullivan
Shane Lowry
Joost Luiten
Danny Willett
Bradley Dredge
Richard Sterne
Thomas Pieters
Hao Tong Li
Gregory Bourdy
Nicolas Colsaerts

Top Performers on Easy Courses (since 2015)

Kiradech Aphibarnrat
Victor Dubuisson
Andy Sullivan
Hao Tong Li
Shane Lowry
Danny Willett
Jorge Campillo
Alexander Levy
Stephen Gallacher
Lucas Bjerregaard

Top Performers on Correlated Courses (since 2015)

Kiradech Aphibarnrat
Joost Luiten
Alexander Levy
Matt Wallace
Danny Willett
Oliver Fisher
Jason Scrivener
Shane Lowry
Eduardo De La Riva
Mikko Korhonen

Golfers that show up on all five lists: NONE

Golfers that show up on 4-of-5 lists: Joost Luiten, Shane Lowry, Danny Willett

Golfers that show up on 3-of-5 lists: Thomas Pieters, Andy Sullivan, Alexander Levy, Hao Tong Li

Golfers that show up on 2-of-5 lists: Kiradech Aphibarnrat, Richard Sterne, Mikko Korhonen, Gregory Bourdy, Thomas Aiken, Bradley Dredge

My Top 25 for the 2017 Portugal Masters

1. Kiradech Aphibarnrat
2. Shane Lowry
3. Hao Tong Li
4. Thorbjorn Olesen
5. Alexander Levy
6. Joost Luiten
7. Russell Knox
8. Thomas Pieters
9. Padraig Harrington
10. Ryan Fox
11. Dean Burmester
12. Lee Slattery
13. Thomas Detry
14. Matt Wallace
15. Andy Sullivan
16. Mikko Korhonen
17. Richard Sterne
18. Gregory Bourdy
19. Thomas Aiken
20. Austin Connelly
21. Maximilian Kieffer
22. Jorge Campillo
23. Bradley Dredge
24. George Coetzee
25. Eddie Pepperell

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