Performance in Hot Weather

The average PGA TOUR round is played in the upper 70s, which is perfect golf weather.

When you start dipping below the 70s, you start to see the ball fly much shorter and muscles take much longer to “activate” as Tiger Woods might say, while the opposite occurs in warmer weather.

Looking at the top 20th-ish percentile of rounds, we can see who performs best when playing in temperatures of 86 degrees or higher.

* Minimum 30 rounds to qualify. Stats are time-weighted and adjusted to the strength of competition.

Top 25 Performers in Hot Weather (since 2014)

Jason Day (3.148 sg:total)
Justin Thomas (3.092 sg:total)
Dustin Johnson (2.948 sg:total)
Francesco Molinari (2.819 sg:total)
Webb Simpson (2.775 sg:total)
Louis Oosthuizen (2.749 sg:total)
Justin Rose (2.677 sg:total)
Tiger Woods (2.559 sg:total)
Jon Rahm (2.456 sg:total)
Brooks Koepka (2.407 sg:total)
Hideki Matsuyama (2.374 sg:total)
Henrik Stenson (2.373 sg:total)
Rory McIlroy (2.373 sg:total)
Paul Casey (2.337 sg:total)
Rickie Fowler (2.226 sg:total)
Rafa Cabrera Bello (2.176 sg:total)
Matt Kuchar (2.041 sg:total)
Sergio Garcia (2.024 sg:total)
Bryson DeChambeau (2.009 sg:total)
Jordan Spieth (2.004 sg:total)
Emiliano Grillo (1.994 sg:total)
Ryan Armour (1.985 sg:total)
Billy Horschel (1.976 sg:total)
Marc Leishman (1.964 sg:total)
Adam Scott (1.868 sg:total)

Top 25 Hot Weather Specialists
(Hot Weather Performance vs. Expected Strokes Gained)

Ryan Armour (1.985 sg:hot weather vs. 0.956 sg:total)
Louis Oosthuizen (2.749 sg:hot weather vs. 1.886 sg:total)
Freddie Jacobson (1.272 sg:hot weather vs. 0.461 sg:total)
Francesco Molinari (2.819 sg:hot weather vs. 2.034 sg:total)
Cody Gribble (0.676 sg:hot weather vs. -0.077 sg:total)
Michael Kim (0.962 sg:hot weather vs. 0.251 sg:total)
Webb Simpson (2.775 sg:hot weather vs. 2.072 sg:total)
Bronson Burgoon (1.43 sg:hot weather vs. 0.785 sg:total)
Ted Potter, Jr. (1.053 sg:hot weather vs. 0.417 sg:total)
Joel Dahmen (1.753 sg:hot weather vs. 1.156 sg:total)
Brian Gay (1.59 sg:hot weather vs. 1.001 sg:total)
Justin Thomas (3.092 sg:hot weather vs. 2.509 sg:total)
C.T. Pan (1.734 sg:hot weather vs. 1.172 sg:total)
Troy Merritt (1.313 sg:hot weather vs. 0.762 sg:total)
Billy Horschel (1.976 sg:hot weather vs. 1.447 sg:total)
Ricky Barnes (1.002 sg:hot weather vs. 0.486 sg:total)
Chris Kirk (1.662 sg:hot weather vs. 1.169 sg:total)
Johnson Wagner (1.326 sg:hot weather vs. 0.838 sg:total)
Shane Lowry (1.822 sg:hot weather vs. 1.356 sg:total)
Chad Campbell (1.19 sg:hot weather vs. 0.737 sg:total)
Tim Herron (0.029 sg:hot weather vs. -0.411 sg:total)
Whee Kim (0.775 sg:hot weather vs. 0.341 sg:total)
Jason Kokrak (1.864 sg:hot weather vs. 1.444 sg:total)
Stewart Cink (1.677 sg:hot weather vs. 1.279 sg:total)
Nicholas Lindheim (0.532 sg:hot weather vs. 0.135 sg:total)

Top 25 Hot Weather Anti-Specialists
Hot Weather Performance vs. Expected Strokes Gained)

Trey Mullinax (-0.048 sg:hot weather vs. 0.885 sg:total)
Kevin Streelman (0.352 sg:hot weather vs. 1.242 sg:total)
Bubba Watson (1.001 sg:hot weather vs. 1.842 sg:total)
Scott Piercy (0.462 sg:hot weather vs. 1.268 sg:total)
Brian Stuard (0.058 sg:hot weather vs. 0.785 sg:total)
Charley Hoffman (0.827 sg:hot weather vs. 1.553 sg:total)
Phil Mickelson (1.437 sg:hot weather vs. 2.081 sg:total)
Nick Watney (0.458 sg:hot weather vs. 1.088 sg:total)
Scott Langley (-0.064 sg:hot weather vs. 0.514 sg:total)
Luke List (0.95 sg:hot weather vs. 1.523 sg:total)
Rory McIlroy (2.373 sg:hot weather vs. 2.943 sg:total)
Patrick Reed (1.387 sg:hot weather vs. 1.914 sg:total)
Cameron Smith (0.767 sg:hot weather vs. 1.289 sg:total)
Graeme McDowell (0.696 sg:hot weather vs. 1.211 sg:total)
Ryan Palmer (0.792 sg:hot weather vs. 1.305 sg:total)
Rory Sabbatini (0.485 sg:hot weather vs. 0.98 sg:total)
Beau Hossler (0.663 sg:hot weather vs. 1.154 sg:total)
Si Woo Kim (0.571 sg:hot weather vs. 1.062 sg:total)
Carlos Ortiz (0.125 sg:hot weather vs. 0.602 sg:total)
Jordan Spieth (2.004 sg:hot weather vs. 2.458 sg:total)
Jamie Lovemark (0.842 sg:hot weather vs. 1.285 sg:total)
Scott Stallings (0.4 sg:hot weather vs. 0.84 sg:total)
Hunter Mahan (0.108 sg:hot weather vs. 0.528 sg:total)
Patton Kizzire (0.425 sg:hot weather vs. 0.832 sg:total)
Martin Laird (0.869 sg:hot weather vs. 1.256 sg:total)

Last Updated: May 22nd, 2019

Golfer Quotes

SUNG KANG: Here is so much similar to my home country, South Korea. It has the four seasons and the tree lines, humid, hot in summer, winter gets cold and snowy. -2018 TPC Potomac

ABRAHAM ANCER: I love it. I grew up in Mexico, in the north part of Mexico where it’s very hot, very similar to it. Didn’t bother me. I would rather play in this than cold weather. -2018 TPC Potomac

Q. It’s supposed to be more typical Florida weather tomorrow and Sunday it might even get into the high 80s. Do you embrace that kind of heat?
HENRIK STENSON:
Yeah, I live here, I make Orlando my home, I certainly prefer 75, 80 compared to 45, 50 playing golf. I might be Swedish, but I’ve gone soft, I lived in a nice climate for too many years. So, yeah, give me heat rather than cold I would say. -2018 Bay Hill

Q. You’ve got a fantastic record here in Asia. The humidity, the heat, the conditions, they don’t really seem to affect you as much as others?
CAMERON SMITH:
No. Well, I grew up in Brisbane. It’s kind of similar to this but obviously not as bad as this. But yeah, I enjoy the heat. I always play well in the heat for some reason, I honestly can’t tell you why. -2017-18 CIMB

Q. This is known as one of the hottest tournaments temperature-wise on the PGA Tour, kind of the beginning of summer. How is your play different from really warm
climate as opposed to earlier in the year when it’s obviously more sweater weather as far as ball flight, the way you prepare for it?
PHIL MICKELSON:
So the heat here can be an issue as far as stamina and maintaining focus throughout the round, but the heat also has the ball go farther, loosens up your muscles, you swing a little bit more fluid, a little bit more speed, you compress the ball easier, it goes longer and the wind doesn’t affect it as much. You have a much higher density altitude. So you end up playing much easier, I think, when you have this type of heat and so I think most golfers prefer it. -2017 TPC Southwind

Q. You talked about the heat. Just how much of a challenge is it to play in these type of conditions, and do you have to make many add adjustments?
WEBB SIMPSON:
I think for me, growing up in the south I’m used to it. I think for other guys growing up out west or north east it could be very difficult to adjust.

The ball does go further. Kevin and I hit a couple shots today on the back nine that we thought were pretty good and they end up five, six, seven yards past the hole. You have to adjust for that. -2017 Colonial

BRIAN STUARD: You know, I don’t know. Seems to be I like playing in the warm weather for sure and, you know, I guess I like these bermuda greens. I don’t know. Something about it. -2016 TPC Southwind

SHAWN STEFANI: Being here in the heat, the bermuda grass the zoysia fairways and the town is very nice. I feel like I have a lot of support. I feel like I’m kind of a home town kid over here. I do like it here and you know, it really is one of my favorite places on Tour to come. -2016 TPC Southwind

SCOTT PIERCY: I love the heat. I grew up in Vegas, so I’m used to the heat. Maybe not the humidity like this, but some guys aren’t accustomed to it. I love it. So, it’s player to player, really. -2015 CIMB

RUSSELL HENLEY: I like places that are really warm and I tend to play golf a little bit better when it’s a little warmer. -2014 PGA National