Performance in Hot Weather

The average PGA TOUR round is played in the upper 70s, which is perfect golf weather.

When you start dipping below the 70s, you start to see the ball fly much shorter and muscles take much longer to “activate” as Tiger Woods might say, while the opposite occurs in warmer weather.

Looking at the top 20th-ish percentile of rounds, we can see who performs best when playing in temperatures of 86 degrees or higher.

*Golfers must have 25 rounds in hot temperatures (since 2014) to qualify for these lists.
**Performance adjusted for strength of competition.

Top 25 Performers in Hot Weather (since 2014)

Jason Day (3.709 sg:total)
Rory McIlroy (3.333 sg:total)
Jim Furyk (2.976 sg:total)
Justin Rose (2.695 sg:total)
Dustin Johnson (2.508 sg:total)
Sergio Garcia (2.421 sg:total)
Justin Thomas (2.392 sg:total)
Adam Scott (2.316 sg:total)
Hideki Matsuyama (2.285 sg:total)
Zach Johnson (2.257 sg:total)
Chris Kirk (2.144 sg:total)
Freddie Jacobson (2.117 sg:total)
Matt Kuchar (2.082 sg:total)
Rickie Fowler (2.061 sg:total)
Ryan Moore (2.053 sg:total)
Jason Kokrak (2.003 sg:total)
Brandt Snedeker (1.977 sg:total)
Jordan Spieth (1.959 sg:total)
Si Woo Kim (1.957 sg:total)
Bill Haas (1.936 sg:total)
Paul Casey (1.87 sg:total)
Scott Piercy (1.855 sg:total)
Kevin Na (1.843 sg:total)
Brooks Koepka (1.835 sg:total)
Emiliano Grillo (1.766 sg:total)

Top 25 Hot Weather Specialists
(Hot Weather Performance vs. Expected Strokes Gained)

Freddie Jacobson (2.117 sg:hot weather vs. 0.792 sg:total)
Si Woo Kim (1.957 sg:hot weather vs. 0.682 sg:total)
Derek Fathauer (1.43 sg:hot weather vs. 0.384 sg:total)
Jason Day (3.709 sg:hot weather vs. 2.761 sg:total)
Jason Kokrak (2.003 sg:hot weather vs. 1.065 sg:total)
Chris Kirk (2.144 sg:hot weather vs. 1.228 sg:total)
Jim Furyk (2.976 sg:hot weather vs. 2.095 sg:total)
John Rollins (0.438 sg:hot weather vs. -0.442 sg:total)
Scott Piercy (1.855 sg:hot weather vs. 1.073 sg:total)
Aaron Baddeley (1.492 sg:hot weather vs. 0.714 sg:total)
Andres Romero (1.028 sg:hot weather vs. 0.298 sg:total)
Justin Thomas (2.392 sg:hot weather vs. 1.708 sg:total)
Ken Duke (0.625 sg:hot weather vs. -0.053 sg:total)
Chad Campbell (1.563 sg:hot weather vs. 0.909 sg:total)
Luke Guthrie (1.041 sg:hot weather vs. 0.414 sg:total)
Zach Johnson (2.257 sg:hot weather vs. 1.633 sg:total)
Whee Kim (1.002 sg:hot weather vs. 0.391 sg:total)
James Hahn (1.291 sg:hot weather vs. 0.689 sg:total)
Greg Chalmers (0.496 sg:hot weather vs. -0.09 sg:total)
Troy Merritt (0.943 sg:hot weather vs. 0.358 sg:total)
Alex Prugh (0.627 sg:hot weather vs. 0.08 sg:total)
Spencer Levin (0.974 sg:hot weather vs. 0.441 sg:total)
George McNeill (1.404 sg:hot weather vs. 0.884 sg:total)
David Lingmerth (1.269 sg:hot weather vs. 0.758 sg:total)
Russell Henley (1.718 sg:hot weather vs. 1.21 sg:total)

Top 25 Hot Weather Anti-Specialists
Hot Weather Performance vs. Expected Strokes Gained)

Brendon Todd (-0.459 sg:hot weather vs. 0.664 sg:total)
Morgan Hoffmann (-0.45 sg:hot weather vs. 0.514 sg:total)
Angel Cabrera (-0.669 sg:hot weather vs. 0.231 sg:total)
Brian Stuard (-0.297 sg:hot weather vs. 0.568 sg:total)
Kevin Streelman (-0.013 sg:hot weather vs. 0.84 sg:total)
Kevin Kisner (0.505 sg:hot weather vs. 1.287 sg:total)
Nick Watney (0.161 sg:hot weather vs. 0.927 sg:total)
Hunter Mahan (-0.129 sg:hot weather vs. 0.621 sg:total)
Jimmy Walker (0.871 sg:hot weather vs. 1.618 sg:total)
Bryce Molder (-0.06 sg:hot weather vs. 0.684 sg:total)
Graeme McDowell (0.642 sg:hot weather vs. 1.319 sg:total)
Scott Langley (-0.18 sg:hot weather vs. 0.486 sg:total)
Mark Hubbard (-0.577 sg:hot weather vs. 0.072 sg:total)
K.J. Choi (-0.012 sg:hot weather vs. 0.631 sg:total)
Jordan Spieth (1.959 sg:hot weather vs. 2.576 sg:total)
Chesson Hadley (-0.383 sg:hot weather vs. 0.227 sg:total)
Jeff Overton (-0.205 sg:hot weather vs. 0.4 sg:total)
Peter Malnati (-0.765 sg:hot weather vs. -0.195 sg:total)
Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano (-0.339 sg:hot weather vs. 0.221 sg:total)
Geoff Ogilvy (-0.148 sg:hot weather vs. 0.394 sg:total)
Scott Pinckney (-0.194 sg:hot weather vs. 0.326 sg:total)
J.B. Holmes (0.932 sg:hot weather vs. 1.441 sg:total)
Chris Stroud (0.286 sg:hot weather vs. 0.715 sg:total)
Zac Blair (0.326 sg:hot weather vs. 0.691 sg:total)
Cameron Smith (0.472 sg:hot weather vs. 0.83 sg:total)

Last Updated: May 8th, 2017