Performance in Hot Weather

The average PGA TOUR round is played in the upper 70s, which is perfect golf weather.

When you start dipping below the 70s, you start to see the ball fly much shorter and muscles take much longer to “activate” as Tiger Woods might say, while the opposite occurs in warmer weather.

Looking at the top 20th-ish percentile of rounds, we can see who performs best when playing in temperatures of 86 degrees or higher.

*Golfers must have 25 rounds in hot temperatures (since 2014) to qualify for these lists.
**Performance adjusted for strength of competition.

Top 25 Performers in Hot Weather (since 2014)

Jason Day (3.656 sg:total)
Rory McIlroy (3.188 sg:total)
Dustin Johnson (2.673 sg:total)
Justin Rose (2.635 sg:total)
Sergio Garcia (2.54 sg:total)
Jim Furyk (2.407 sg:total)
Adam Scott (2.352 sg:total)
Hideki Matsuyama (2.32 sg:total)
Justin Thomas (2.282 sg:total)
Paul Casey (2.272 sg:total)
Rickie Fowler (2.218 sg:total)
Matt Kuchar (2.164 sg:total)
Bill Haas (2.048 sg:total)
Zach Johnson (2.047 sg:total)
Webb Simpson (2.001 sg:total)
Jordan Spieth (2 sg:total)
Jason Kokrak (1.975 sg:total)
Emiliano Grillo (1.967 sg:total)
Phil Mickelson (1.911 sg:total)
Ian Poulter (1.902 sg:total)
Marc Leishman (1.893 sg:total)
Freddie Jacobson (1.866 sg:total)
Brooks Koepka (1.857 sg:total)
Kevin Na (1.848 sg:total)
Bubba Watson (1.793 sg:total)

Top 25 Hot Weather Specialists
(Hot Weather Performance vs. Expected Strokes Gained)

Freddie Jacobson (1.866 sg:hot weather vs. 0.789 sg:total)
Jason Day (3.656 sg:hot weather vs. 2.673 sg:total)
Jason Kokrak (1.975 sg:hot weather vs. 1.076 sg:total)
John Rollins (0.359 sg:hot weather vs. -0.501 sg:total)
Si Woo Kim (1.635 sg:hot weather vs. 0.784 sg:total)
David Lingmerth (1.661 sg:hot weather vs. 0.908 sg:total)
Whee Kim (1.126 sg:hot weather vs. 0.443 sg:total)
Ken Duke (0.607 sg:hot weather vs. -0.059 sg:total)
Aaron Baddeley (1.378 sg:hot weather vs. 0.723 sg:total)
Jason Gore (0.938 sg:hot weather vs. 0.295 sg:total)
Ian Poulter (1.902 sg:hot weather vs. 1.26 sg:total)
Luke Guthrie (1.061 sg:hot weather vs. 0.427 sg:total)
Derek Fathauer (0.97 sg:hot weather vs. 0.373 sg:total)
Ricky Barnes (1.092 sg:hot weather vs. 0.503 sg:total)
Vijay Singh (1.126 sg:hot weather vs. 0.552 sg:total)
Spencer Levin (1.056 sg:hot weather vs. 0.489 sg:total)
Webb Simpson (2.001 sg:hot weather vs. 1.436 sg:total)
Justin Thomas (2.282 sg:hot weather vs. 1.727 sg:total)
Alex Prugh (0.645 sg:hot weather vs. 0.09 sg:total)
Chad Campbell (1.543 sg:hot weather vs. 1.007 sg:total)
Andres Romero (0.736 sg:hot weather vs. 0.233 sg:total)
Rod Pampling (0.64 sg:hot weather vs. 0.147 sg:total)
Emiliano Grillo (1.967 sg:hot weather vs. 1.481 sg:total)
Billy Horschel (1.743 sg:hot weather vs. 1.261 sg:total)
Greg Owen (0.569 sg:hot weather vs. 0.088 sg:total)

Top 25 Hot Weather Anti-Specialists
Hot Weather Performance vs. Expected Strokes Gained)

John Peterson (-0.952 sg:hot weather vs. 0.293 sg:total)
Graham DeLaet (0.091 sg:hot weather vs. 1.24 sg:total)
Patton Kizzire (-0.549 sg:hot weather vs. 0.523 sg:total)
Brendon Todd (-0.404 sg:hot weather vs. 0.597 sg:total)
Bryce Molder (-0.231 sg:hot weather vs. 0.602 sg:total)
Hunter Mahan (-0.219 sg:hot weather vs. 0.607 sg:total)
Brian Stuard (-0.293 sg:hot weather vs. 0.512 sg:total)
Angel Cabrera (-0.599 sg:hot weather vs. 0.196 sg:total)
Jimmy Walker (0.856 sg:hot weather vs. 1.602 sg:total)
Morgan Hoffmann (-0.105 sg:hot weather vs. 0.599 sg:total)
Charl Schwartzel (1.033 sg:hot weather vs. 1.709 sg:total)
Scott Langley (-0.159 sg:hot weather vs. 0.501 sg:total)
Jordan Spieth (2 sg:hot weather vs. 2.626 sg:total)
Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano (-0.429 sg:hot weather vs. 0.185 sg:total)
Jeff Overton (-0.183 sg:hot weather vs. 0.414 sg:total)
K.J. Choi (0.036 sg:hot weather vs. 0.619 sg:total)
Chris Stroud (0.118 sg:hot weather vs. 0.696 sg:total)
Kevin Kisner (0.781 sg:hot weather vs. 1.343 sg:total)
Chesson Hadley (-0.243 sg:hot weather vs. 0.269 sg:total)
Scott Pinckney (-0.173 sg:hot weather vs. 0.333 sg:total)
Tyler Aldridge (-0.579 sg:hot weather vs. -0.109 sg:total)
Mark Hubbard (-0.345 sg:hot weather vs. 0.117 sg:total)
J.B. Holmes (0.963 sg:hot weather vs. 1.422 sg:total)
Nick Watney (0.52 sg:hot weather vs. 0.957 sg:total)
Martin Flores (0.172 sg:hot weather vs. 0.605 sg:total)

Last Updated: August 14th, 2017

Golfer Quotes

Q. You’ve got a fantastic record here in Asia. The humidity, the heat, the conditions, they don’t really seem to affect you as much as others?
CAMERON SMITH:
No. Well, I grew up in Brisbane. It’s kind of similar to this but obviously not as bad as this. But yeah, I enjoy the heat. I always play well in the heat for some reason, I honestly can’t tell you why. -2017 CIMB, CIMBClassic.com