Performance in Cold Weather

When talking about “cold weather” it’s important to include context. Cold weather in Minnesota is not that same as cold weather on the PGA TOUR.

The average PGA TOUR round is played in the upper 70s, so when the temperature dips below 70 degrees, these golfers start to leave their comfort zone. Some golfers handle the conditions better than others.

Looking at the bottom 20th percentile of rounds, we can see who performs best when playing in temperatures of 70 degrees or lower.

*Golfers must have 25 rounds in cold temperatures (since 2014) to qualify for these lists.
**Performance adjusted for strength of competition.

Top 25 Performers in Cold Weather (since 2014)

Rory McIlroy (3.123 sg:total)
Jordan Spieth (3.106 sg:total)
Henrik Stenson (3.005 sg:total)
Adam Scott (2.824 sg:total)
Dustin Johnson (2.803 sg:total)
Sergio Garcia (2.736 sg:total)
Jon Rahm (2.651 sg:total)
Rickie Fowler (2.538 sg:total)
Justin Rose (2.535 sg:total)
Hideki Matsuyama (2.517 sg:total)
Matt Kuchar (2.46 sg:total)
Marc Leishman (2.317 sg:total)
Jason Day (2.273 sg:total)
Phil Mickelson (2.224 sg:total)
Brooks Koepka (2.182 sg:total)
Paul Casey (2.153 sg:total)
Luke Donald (2.029 sg:total)
Freddie Jacobson (2.009 sg:total)
J.B. Holmes (1.982 sg:total)
Bubba Watson (1.957 sg:total)
William McGirt (1.93 sg:total)
Branden Grace (1.836 sg:total)
Daniel Berger (1.747 sg:total)
Russell Knox (1.734 sg:total)
Pat Perez (1.706 sg:total)

Top 25 Cold Weather Specialists
(Cold Weather Performance vs. Expected Strokes Gained)

Freddie Jacobson (2.009 sg:cold weather vs. 0.818 sg:total)
Luke Donald (2.029 sg:cold weather vs. 1.122 sg:total)
Patton Kizzire (1.41 sg:cold weather vs. 0.536 sg:total)
K.J. Choi (1.528 sg:cold weather vs. 0.659 sg:total)
William McGirt (1.93 sg:cold weather vs. 1.065 sg:total)
Kelly Kraft (1.028 sg:cold weather vs. 0.215 sg:total)
Greg Owen (0.879 sg:cold weather vs. 0.122 sg:total)
Marc Leishman (2.317 sg:cold weather vs. 1.724 sg:total)
Brian Stuard (1.058 sg:cold weather vs. 0.527 sg:total)
Cameron Percy (1.037 sg:cold weather vs. 0.509 sg:total)
J.B. Holmes (1.982 sg:cold weather vs. 1.459 sg:total)
Martin Laird (1.638 sg:cold weather vs. 1.116 sg:total)
Tim Wilkinson (0.883 sg:cold weather vs. 0.361 sg:total)
Nick Taylor (1.119 sg:cold weather vs. 0.633 sg:total)
Ryo Ishikawa (0.75 sg:cold weather vs. 0.266 sg:total)
Pat Perez (1.706 sg:cold weather vs. 1.234 sg:total)
Adam Scott (2.824 sg:cold weather vs. 2.369 sg:total)
Vaughn Taylor (1.372 sg:cold weather vs. 0.921 sg:total)
Henrik Stenson (3.005 sg:cold weather vs. 2.559 sg:total)
Jason Kokrak (1.556 sg:cold weather vs. 1.158 sg:total)
Jordan Spieth (3.106 sg:cold weather vs. 2.72 sg:total)
Sung Kang (1.419 sg:cold weather vs. 1.056 sg:total)
Retief Goosen (1.064 sg:cold weather vs. 0.708 sg:total)
Boo Weekley (0.846 sg:cold weather vs. 0.492 sg:total)
Ernie Els (0.816 sg:cold weather vs. 0.464 sg:total)

Top 25 Cold Weather Anti-Specialists
Cold Weather Performance vs. Expected Strokes Gained)

Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano (-0.726 sg:cold weather vs. 0.211 sg:total)
Jerry Kelly (0.069 sg:cold weather vs. 0.991 sg:total)
Chad Collins (-0.645 sg:cold weather vs. 0.271 sg:total)
David Hearn (0.177 sg:cold weather vs. 0.927 sg:total)
Kevin Kisner (0.682 sg:cold weather vs. 1.393 sg:total)
Greg Chalmers (-0.72 sg:cold weather vs. -0.011 sg:total)
Si Woo Kim (0.102 sg:cold weather vs. 0.806 sg:total)
David Lingmerth (0.269 sg:cold weather vs. 0.947 sg:total)
Smylie Kaufman (0.04 sg:cold weather vs. 0.687 sg:total)
Davis Love III (-0.542 sg:cold weather vs. 0.101 sg:total)
Brian Harman (0.563 sg:cold weather vs. 1.167 sg:total)
Webb Simpson (0.958 sg:cold weather vs. 1.541 sg:total)
Carl Pettersson (-0.458 sg:cold weather vs. 0.116 sg:total)
Danny Lee (0.475 sg:cold weather vs. 1.038 sg:total)
Cameron Smith (0.247 sg:cold weather vs. 0.802 sg:total)
Billy Hurley III (0.161 sg:cold weather vs. 0.713 sg:total)
Steven Bowditch (-1.084 sg:cold weather vs. -0.535 sg:total)
Russell Henley (0.732 sg:cold weather vs. 1.269 sg:total)
Vijay Singh (0.051 sg:cold weather vs. 0.579 sg:total)
Shawn Stefani (0.318 sg:cold weather vs. 0.837 sg:total)
Scott Piercy (0.523 sg:cold weather vs. 1.039 sg:total)
Tony Finau (1.109 sg:cold weather vs. 1.608 sg:total)
Sam Saunders (-0.153 sg:cold weather vs. 0.31 sg:total)
Jason Day (2.273 sg:cold weather vs. 2.712 sg:total)
Ian Poulter (0.888 sg:cold weather vs. 1.322 sg:total)

Last Updated: October 13th, 2017