Performance in Cold Weather

When talking about “cold weather” it’s important to include context. Cold weather in Minnesota is not that same as cold weather on the PGA TOUR.

The average PGA TOUR round is played in the upper 70s, so when the temperature dips below 70 degrees, these golfers start to leave their comfort zone. Some golfers handle the conditions better than others.

Looking at the bottom 20th percentile of rounds, we can see who performs best when playing in temperatures of 70 degrees or lower.

*Golfers must have 25 rounds in cold temperatures (since 2014) to qualify for these lists.
**Performance adjusted for strength of competition.

Top 25 Performers in Cold Weather (since 2014)

Rory McIlroy (3.163 sg:total)
Jordan Spieth (2.895 sg:total)
Sergio Garcia (2.845 sg:total)
Adam Scott (2.752 sg:total)
Hideki Matsuyama (2.65 sg:total)
Jason Day (2.563 sg:total)
Jon Rahm (2.531 sg:total)
Dustin Johnson (2.517 sg:total)
Justin Rose (2.383 sg:total)
Brooks Koepka (2.312 sg:total)
Matt Kuchar (2.311 sg:total)
Rickie Fowler (2.262 sg:total)
Phil Mickelson (2.202 sg:total)
Bubba Watson (2.195 sg:total)
Freddie Jacobson (2.08 sg:total)
J.B. Holmes (2.008 sg:total)
Marc Leishman (1.984 sg:total)
Luke Donald (1.918 sg:total)
Paul Casey (1.905 sg:total)
Russell Knox (1.856 sg:total)
William McGirt (1.849 sg:total)
Daniel Berger (1.834 sg:total)
Brendan Steele (1.722 sg:total)
Gary Woodland (1.709 sg:total)
Jim Furyk (1.708 sg:total)

Top 25 Cold Weather Specialists
(Cold Weather Performance vs. Expected Strokes Gained)

Freddie Jacobson (2.08 sg:cold weather vs. 0.856 sg:total)
Kelly Kraft (1.375 sg:cold weather vs. 0.398 sg:total)
Patton Kizzire (1.618 sg:cold weather vs. 0.767 sg:total)
Luke Donald (1.918 sg:cold weather vs. 1.08 sg:total)
William McGirt (1.849 sg:cold weather vs. 1.044 sg:total)
K.J. Choi (1.398 sg:cold weather vs. 0.624 sg:total)
Greg Owen (0.782 sg:cold weather vs. 0.057 sg:total)
Pat Perez (1.676 sg:cold weather vs. 0.982 sg:total)
John Merrick (0.766 sg:cold weather vs. 0.073 sg:total)
Luke Guthrie (1.031 sg:cold weather vs. 0.379 sg:total)
Martin Laird (1.575 sg:cold weather vs. 0.927 sg:total)
Nick Taylor (0.973 sg:cold weather vs. 0.38 sg:total)
J.B. Holmes (2.008 sg:cold weather vs. 1.423 sg:total)
Tim Wilkinson (0.822 sg:cold weather vs. 0.271 sg:total)
Willy Wilcox (0.536 sg:cold weather vs. 0 sg:total)
Marc Leishman (1.984 sg:cold weather vs. 1.457 sg:total)
Sung Kang (1.227 sg:cold weather vs. 0.731 sg:total)
Sergio Garcia (2.845 sg:cold weather vs. 2.368 sg:total)
Ryo Ishikawa (0.898 sg:cold weather vs. 0.426 sg:total)
Brooks Koepka (2.312 sg:cold weather vs. 1.85 sg:total)
Lucas Glover (1.06 sg:cold weather vs. 0.606 sg:total)
Hideki Matsuyama (2.65 sg:cold weather vs. 2.197 sg:total)
Brian Stuard (0.956 sg:cold weather vs. 0.511 sg:total)
Boo Weekley (0.819 sg:cold weather vs. 0.391 sg:total)
Jon Rahm (2.531 sg:cold weather vs. 2.105 sg:total)

Top 25 Cold Weather Anti-Specialists
Cold Weather Performance vs. Expected Strokes Gained)

Si Woo Kim (-0.18 sg:cold weather vs. 0.844 sg:total)
Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano (-0.807 sg:cold weather vs. 0.134 sg:total)
Jerry Kelly (0.011 sg:cold weather vs. 0.934 sg:total)
David Hearn (0.017 sg:cold weather vs. 0.866 sg:total)
Greg Chalmers (-1.016 sg:cold weather vs. -0.19 sg:total)
Billy Hurley III (-0.205 sg:cold weather vs. 0.612 sg:total)
Carl Pettersson (-0.576 sg:cold weather vs. 0.197 sg:total)
Chad Collins (-0.563 sg:cold weather vs. 0.198 sg:total)
Steven Bowditch (-1.087 sg:cold weather vs. -0.399 sg:total)
Kevin Kisner (0.509 sg:cold weather vs. 1.191 sg:total)
Davis Love III (-0.594 sg:cold weather vs. 0.058 sg:total)
Russell Henley (0.408 sg:cold weather vs. 1.045 sg:total)
Jason Bohn (0.121 sg:cold weather vs. 0.746 sg:total)
Smylie Kaufman (0.031 sg:cold weather vs. 0.636 sg:total)
Shawn Stefani (0.255 sg:cold weather vs. 0.85 sg:total)
Scott Piercy (0.484 sg:cold weather vs. 1.076 sg:total)
Ian Poulter (0.444 sg:cold weather vs. 1.033 sg:total)
Cameron Smith (0.079 sg:cold weather vs. 0.662 sg:total)
J.J. Henry (-0.631 sg:cold weather vs. -0.085 sg:total)
Brendon de Jonge (0.113 sg:cold weather vs. 0.652 sg:total)
Brett Stegmaier (-0.283 sg:cold weather vs. 0.23 sg:total)
David Lingmerth (0.247 sg:cold weather vs. 0.748 sg:total)
Max Homa (-1.1 sg:cold weather vs. -0.618 sg:total)
Jim Furyk (1.708 sg:cold weather vs. 2.184 sg:total)
Charley Hoffman (0.733 sg:cold weather vs. 1.193 sg:total)

Last Updated: February 13th, 2017