Hard Fairway Specialists

The Fantasy Golfanac looks at the performance of each golfer on a course-by-course basis. This is crucial when it comes to finding value in daily fantasy golf formats or any weekly fantasy golf format that requires gamers to find value plays.

In this section, we look at performance when golfers tee it up on a course where fairways are difficult to hit. We have defined difficulty-to-hit fairways as any course where the field averages 56 percent or less in terms of fairways hit.

Top 25 Performers on Hard Fairway Courses (since 2013-14)

Rory McIlroy (3.461 strokes gained:total)
Bubba Watson (3.023 strokes gained:total)
Dustin Johnson (2.93 strokes gained:total)
Jason Day (2.56 strokes gained:total)
Adam Scott (2.493 strokes gained:total)
Henrik Stenson (2.36 strokes gained:total)
Justin Rose (2.358 strokes gained:total)
Sergio Garcia (2.259 strokes gained:total)
Matt Kuchar (2.183 strokes gained:total)
Phil Mickelson (2.149 strokes gained:total)
Paul Casey (2.016 strokes gained:total)
Charl Schwartzel (1.98 strokes gained:total)
Shane Lowry (1.933 strokes gained:total)
Jim Furyk (1.908 strokes gained:total)
Hideki Matsuyama (1.82 strokes gained:total)
Jordan Spieth (1.812 strokes gained:total)
Brooks Koepka (1.811 strokes gained:total)
Gary Woodland (1.804 strokes gained:total)
Branden Grace (1.793 strokes gained:total)
Brendan Steele (1.779 strokes gained:total)
Harris English (1.768 strokes gained:total)
Jimmy Walker (1.755 strokes gained:total)
Rickie Fowler (1.737 strokes gained:total)
Ryan Moore (1.736 strokes gained:total)
Justin Thomas (1.693 strokes gained:total)

Top 25 Hard Fairway Specialists (Hard Fairways vs. Expected Strokes Gained)

K.J. Choi (1.566 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.675 sg:total)
Bubba Watson (3.023 sg:hard fairways vs. 2.133 sg:total)
Jason Bohn (1.635 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.759 sg:total)
Carlos Ortiz (1.131 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.274 sg:total)
Smylie Kaufman (1.279 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.654 sg:total)
Chez Reavie (1.507 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.957 sg:total)
Camilo Villegas (1.122 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.625 sg:total)
J.J. Henry (0.441 sg:hard fairways vs. -0.035 sg:total)
Daniel Summerhays (1.544 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.078 sg:total)
Tyrone Van Aswegen (0.658 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.202 sg:total)
Michael Thompson (0.852 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.407 sg:total)
Branden Grace (1.793 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.357 sg:total)
Harris English (1.768 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.337 sg:total)
Patton Kizzire (1.135 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.708 sg:total)
Rory McIlroy (3.461 sg:hard fairways vs. 3.041 sg:total)
Seung-yul Noh (1.105 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.714 sg:total)
Ben Crane (0.817 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.427 sg:total)
Vaughn Taylor (1.21 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.822 sg:total)
Rory Sabbatini (0.886 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.501 sg:total)
William McGirt (1.437 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.06 sg:total)
Patrick Rodgers (1.13 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.76 sg:total)
Sung Kang (1.177 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.811 sg:total)
Charl Schwartzel (1.98 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.621 sg:total)
James Hahn (1.038 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.682 sg:total)
Shane Lowry (1.933 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.593 sg:total)

Top 25 Hard Fairway Anti-Specialists (Hard Fairway vs. Expected Strokes Gained)

Martin Kaymer (0.355 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.371 sg:total)
Jim Renner (-1.731 sg:hard fairways vs. -0.863 sg:total)
Jonathan Byrd (-0.372 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.425 sg:total)
Jordan Spieth (1.812 sg:hard fairways vs. 2.575 sg:total)
Victor Dubuisson (0.173 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.921 sg:total)
Graeme McDowell (0.536 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.246 sg:total)
Derek Ernst (-1.273 sg:hard fairways vs. -0.569 sg:total)
Steven Bowditch (-1.094 sg:hard fairways vs. -0.398 sg:total)
Russell Knox (0.883 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.523 sg:total)
Henrik Norlander (0.143 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.755 sg:total)
Kelly Kraft (-0.225 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.379 sg:total)
Blayne Barber (-0.075 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.529 sg:total)
Francesco Molinari (1.043 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.646 sg:total)
Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano (-0.435 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.15 sg:total)
Justin Hicks (-0.598 sg:hard fairways vs. -0.019 sg:total)
Willy Wilcox (0.131 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.699 sg:total)
Ryo Ishikawa (-0.141 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.427 sg:total)
Patrick Reed (1.083 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.627 sg:total)
Steve Marino (-0.447 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.091 sg:total)
Brice Garnett (-0.399 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.111 sg:total)
Geoff Ogilvy (-0.07 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.431 sg:total)
Ian Poulter (0.57 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.062 sg:total)
Andres Gonzales (-0.38 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.11 sg:total)
Carl Pettersson (-0.28 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.203 sg:total)
Tyler Aldridge (-0.328 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.147 sg:total)

*Minimum 25 Rounds to Qualify.

Last Updated: February 28th, 2017

This article has 2 comments

  1. Hey! Question. I am curious as to why extremely accurate guys like Knox, Molinari, GMac are not good on tough to hit fairway courses. You would think that they would do especially well there given their accuracy off the tee. Thoughts? Thanks!

    Reply
    • The thing about Hard Fairways is that EVERYONE in the field is going to miss more fairways. That includes the accurate guys like Knox, Moli, Gmac. If everyone is missing more fairways, then the advantage goes back to bombers as they are 50 yards further up in the rough, coming in with less club.

      Their are always exceptions on particular courses based on length of rough and what not but that would be my best explanation. This is actually a very common question (and a good one).

      Reply

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