Hard Fairway Specialists

The Fantasy Golfanac looks at the performance of each golfer on a course-by-course basis. This is crucial when it comes to finding value in daily fantasy golf formats or any weekly fantasy golf format that requires gamers to find value plays.

In this section, we look at performance when golfers tee it up on a course where fairways are difficult to hit. We have defined difficulty-to-hit fairways as any course where the field averages 56 percent or less in terms of fairways hit.

Top 25 Performers on Hard Fairway Courses (since 2014)

Rory McIlroy (3.452 strokes gained:total)
Bubba Watson (3.014 strokes gained:total)
Dustin Johnson (2.921 strokes gained:total)
Jason Day (2.551 strokes gained:total)
Adam Scott (2.485 strokes gained:total)
Henrik Stenson (2.353 strokes gained:total)
Justin Rose (2.347 strokes gained:total)
Sergio Garcia (2.249 strokes gained:total)
Matt Kuchar (2.174 strokes gained:total)
Phil Mickelson (2.138 strokes gained:total)
Paul Casey (2.006 strokes gained:total)
Charl Schwartzel (1.972 strokes gained:total)
Shane Lowry (1.922 strokes gained:total)
Jim Furyk (1.898 strokes gained:total)
Hideki Matsuyama (1.808 strokes gained:total)
Brooks Koepka (1.802 strokes gained:total)
Jordan Spieth (1.801 strokes gained:total)
Gary Woodland (1.794 strokes gained:total)
Branden Grace (1.786 strokes gained:total)
Brendan Steele (1.765 strokes gained:total)
Harris English (1.757 strokes gained:total)
Jimmy Walker (1.745 strokes gained:total)
Rickie Fowler (1.727 strokes gained:total)
Ryan Moore (1.726 strokes gained:total)
Justin Thomas (1.683 strokes gained:total)

Top 25 Hard Fairway Specialists (Hard Fairways vs. Expected Strokes Gained)

Bubba Watson (3.014 sg:hard fairways vs. 2.091 sg:total)
K.J. Choi (1.554 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.653 sg:total)
Jason Bohn (1.625 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.759 sg:total)
Carlos Ortiz (1.122 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.298 sg:total)
Smylie Kaufman (1.273 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.551 sg:total)
Chez Reavie (1.498 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.954 sg:total)
Camilo Villegas (1.111 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.614 sg:total)
Daniel Summerhays (1.532 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.054 sg:total)
Harris English (1.757 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.298 sg:total)
Patrick Rodgers (1.117 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.684 sg:total)
Seung-yul Noh (1.095 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.674 sg:total)
Patton Kizzire (1.124 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.71 sg:total)
Tyrone Van Aswegen (0.646 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.251 sg:total)
Branden Grace (1.786 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.394 sg:total)
Ben Crane (0.806 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.416 sg:total)
J.J. Henry (0.429 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.048 sg:total)
Michael Thompson (0.841 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.46 sg:total)
Rory McIlroy (3.452 sg:hard fairways vs. 3.103 sg:total)
Rory Sabbatini (0.874 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.528 sg:total)
Shane Lowry (1.922 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.578 sg:total)
Martin Laird (1.315 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.981 sg:total)
Ken Duke (0.306 sg:hard fairways vs. -0.026 sg:total)
Brett Stegmaier (0.511 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.184 sg:total)
James Hahn (1.028 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.702 sg:total)
Vaughn Taylor (1.202 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.892 sg:total)

Top 25 Hard Fairway Anti-Specialists (Hard Fairway vs. Expected Strokes Gained)

Martin Kaymer (0.347 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.464 sg:total)
Jim Renner (-1.742 sg:hard fairways vs. -0.853 sg:total)
Jonathan Byrd (-0.384 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.417 sg:total)
Jordan Spieth (1.801 sg:hard fairways vs. 2.583 sg:total)
Graeme McDowell (0.528 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.301 sg:total)
Victor Dubuisson (0.164 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.934 sg:total)
Derek Ernst (-1.282 sg:hard fairways vs. -0.553 sg:total)
Francesco Molinari (1.033 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.73 sg:total)
Blayne Barber (-0.084 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.611 sg:total)
Steven Bowditch (-1.102 sg:hard fairways vs. -0.444 sg:total)
Henrik Norlander (0.137 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.787 sg:total)
Russell Knox (0.874 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.49 sg:total)
Willy Wilcox (0.122 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.733 sg:total)
Justin Hicks (-0.608 sg:hard fairways vs. -0.009 sg:total)
Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano (-0.445 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.153 sg:total)
Andres Gonzales (-0.39 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.192 sg:total)
Steve Marino (-0.455 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.101 sg:total)
Ian Poulter (0.561 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.109 sg:total)
Tyler Aldridge (-0.335 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.21 sg:total)
Brice Garnett (-0.409 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.124 sg:total)
Patrick Reed (1.074 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.597 sg:total)
Ryo Ishikawa (-0.156 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.361 sg:total)
Anirban Lahiri (0.35 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.83 sg:total)
Davis Love III (-0.381 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.096 sg:total)
Geoff Ogilvy (-0.081 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.395 sg:total)

*Minimum 25 Rounds to Qualify.

Last Updated: April 16th, 2017

This article has 2 comments

  1. Hey! Question. I am curious as to why extremely accurate guys like Knox, Molinari, GMac are not good on tough to hit fairway courses. You would think that they would do especially well there given their accuracy off the tee. Thoughts? Thanks!

    Reply
    • The thing about Hard Fairways is that EVERYONE in the field is going to miss more fairways. That includes the accurate guys like Knox, Moli, Gmac. If everyone is missing more fairways, then the advantage goes back to bombers as they are 50 yards further up in the rough, coming in with less club.

      Their are always exceptions on particular courses based on length of rough and what not but that would be my best explanation. This is actually a very common question (and a good one).

      Reply

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