Hard Fairway Specialists

The Fantasy Golfanac looks at the performance of each golfer on a course-by-course basis. This is crucial when it comes to finding value in daily fantasy golf formats or any weekly fantasy golf format that requires gamers to find value plays.

In this section, we look at performance when golfers tee it up on a course where fairways are difficult to hit. We have defined difficulty-to-hit fairways as any course where the field averages 56 percent or less in terms of fairways hit.

Top 25 Performers on Hard Fairway Courses (since 2014)

Rory McIlroy (3.519 strokes gained:total)
Bubba Watson (3.077 strokes gained:total)
Dustin Johnson (2.989 strokes gained:total)
Jason Day (2.617 strokes gained:total)
Adam Scott (2.549 strokes gained:total)
Henrik Stenson (2.42 strokes gained:total)
Justin Rose (2.416 strokes gained:total)
Sergio Garcia (2.316 strokes gained:total)
Matt Kuchar (2.24 strokes gained:total)
Phil Mickelson (2.206 strokes gained:total)
Paul Casey (2.078 strokes gained:total)
Charl Schwartzel (2.038 strokes gained:total)
Shane Lowry (1.987 strokes gained:total)
Jim Furyk (1.965 strokes gained:total)
Hideki Matsuyama (1.876 strokes gained:total)
Jordan Spieth (1.868 strokes gained:total)
Brooks Koepka (1.867 strokes gained:total)
Gary Woodland (1.865 strokes gained:total)
Branden Grace (1.849 strokes gained:total)
Brendan Steele (1.839 strokes gained:total)
Harris English (1.824 strokes gained:total)
Jimmy Walker (1.812 strokes gained:total)
Ryan Moore (1.794 strokes gained:total)
Rickie Fowler (1.79 strokes gained:total)
Justin Thomas (1.75 strokes gained:total)

Top 25 Hard Fairway Specialists (Hard Fairways vs. Expected Strokes Gained)

Bubba Watson (3.077 sg:hard fairways vs. 2.061 sg:total)
K.J. Choi (1.624 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.637 sg:total)
Jason Bohn (1.691 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.714 sg:total)
Carlos Ortiz (1.192 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.298 sg:total)
Smylie Kaufman (1.328 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.722 sg:total)
Chez Reavie (1.563 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.963 sg:total)
Harris English (1.824 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.228 sg:total)
Daniel Summerhays (1.602 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.046 sg:total)
Patton Kizzire (1.192 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.637 sg:total)
Camilo Villegas (1.179 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.638 sg:total)
Patrick Rodgers (1.185 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.646 sg:total)
D.H. Lee (-0.58 sg:hard fairways vs. -1.098 sg:total)
Brett Stegmaier (0.574 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.066 sg:total)
Tyrone Van Aswegen (0.717 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.239 sg:total)
Michael Thompson (0.911 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.443 sg:total)
Rory Sabbatini (0.948 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.481 sg:total)
Ben Crane (0.875 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.418 sg:total)
Rory McIlroy (3.519 sg:hard fairways vs. 3.082 sg:total)
Seung-yul Noh (1.163 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.728 sg:total)
Shane Lowry (1.987 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.554 sg:total)
J.J. Henry (0.5 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.077 sg:total)
Ken Duke (0.374 sg:hard fairways vs. -0.043 sg:total)
Branden Grace (1.849 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.44 sg:total)
James Hahn (1.097 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.699 sg:total)
Martin Laird (1.384 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.004 sg:total)

Top 25 Hard Fairway Anti-Specialists (Hard Fairway vs. Expected Strokes Gained)

Martin Kaymer (0.413 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.437 sg:total)
Jim Renner (-1.67 sg:hard fairways vs. -0.853 sg:total)
Jonathan Byrd (-0.314 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.417 sg:total)
Graeme McDowell (0.594 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.313 sg:total)
Victor Dubuisson (0.231 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.934 sg:total)
Jordan Spieth (1.868 sg:hard fairways vs. 2.566 sg:total)
Francesco Molinari (1.101 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.778 sg:total)
Blayne Barber (-0.02 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.639 sg:total)
Derek Ernst (-1.214 sg:hard fairways vs. -0.572 sg:total)
Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano (-0.376 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.231 sg:total)
Henrik Norlander (0.2 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.785 sg:total)
Steven Bowditch (-1.041 sg:hard fairways vs. -0.469 sg:total)
Russell Knox (0.935 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.48 sg:total)
Willy Wilcox (0.187 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.721 sg:total)
Justin Hicks (-0.538 sg:hard fairways vs. -0.009 sg:total)
Ian Poulter (0.631 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.161 sg:total)
Andres Gonzales (-0.318 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.199 sg:total)
Steve Marino (-0.395 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.103 sg:total)
Patrick Reed (1.137 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.61 sg:total)
Brice Garnett (-0.339 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.124 sg:total)
Jim Herman (0.234 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.685 sg:total)
Carl Pettersson (-0.222 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.206 sg:total)
Byeong Hun An (0.733 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.156 sg:total)
Tyler Aldridge (-0.271 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.148 sg:total)
Geoff Ogilvy (-0.014 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.404 sg:total)

*Minimum 25 Rounds to Qualify.

Last Updated: May 15th, 2017

This article has 2 comments

  1. Hey! Question. I am curious as to why extremely accurate guys like Knox, Molinari, GMac are not good on tough to hit fairway courses. You would think that they would do especially well there given their accuracy off the tee. Thoughts? Thanks!

    Reply
    • The thing about Hard Fairways is that EVERYONE in the field is going to miss more fairways. That includes the accurate guys like Knox, Moli, Gmac. If everyone is missing more fairways, then the advantage goes back to bombers as they are 50 yards further up in the rough, coming in with less club.

      Their are always exceptions on particular courses based on length of rough and what not but that would be my best explanation. This is actually a very common question (and a good one).

      Reply

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