DP World Tour Championship Fantasy Preview

The European Tour season comes to an end this week in Dubai.

The small field of 60 golfers will take on a monster Jumeirah Golf Estates layout. It’s a par 72 course that stretches out past 7,600 yards.

Despite all that length, driving distance has not proven to be a necessity. Guys like Francesco Molinari, Luke Donald, and Ian Poulter have all excelled here. Perhaps that’s due to roughly 100 bunkers littering the course. Also, two of the par 5s are 620 yards or longer, so they are likely true three-shotters regardless of length.

In doesn’t make a lot of sense on paper but if someone with advanced knowledge of the course made an argument that the layout actually favors the shorter hitters, I wouldn’t argue, based on who I see atop the list of course horses.

The field has averaged 70.6 strokes per round since the inaugural 2009 edition. The event features 60 of the top golfers on the Euro Tour, but still, that’s an walk in the park. We should expect more low scores this week.

Looking at course lengths, grass types, location, difficulty, etc. there were five events that popped off the page: Turkish Airlines, Abu Dhabi, Alfred Dunhill Links, Qatar Masters, and the Omega Dubai.

On top of those correlated courses, I will also venture through the record books to see who has the most success on the following angles below. Branden Grace flew off the page last week and he looks like another strong play this week. However, he has competition at the top of the event-fit chart. Find out who that is below…

Top Performers on Bermuda Greens (since 2015)

Bernd Wiesberger
Branden Grace
Rafa Cabrera Bello
Justin Rose
Tyrrell Hatton
Joost Luiten
Martin Kaymer
Alex Noren
Peter Uihlein
George Coetzee

Top Performers in the Middle East (since 2015)

Bernd Wiesberger
Branden Grace
Rafa Cabrera Bello
Martin Kaymer
Tyrrell Hatton
Joost Luiten
Chris Wood
Peter Uihlein
Victor Dubuisson
Thorbjorn Olesen

Top Performers against Strong Fields (since 2015)

Branden Grace
Francesco Molinari
Bernd Wiesberger
Tyrrell Hatton
Martin Kaymer
Alex Noren
Soren Kjeldsen
Ross Fisher
Rafa Cabrera Bello
Peter Uihlein

Top Performers in the Fall (since 2015)

Tyrrell Hatton
Matthew Fitzpatrick
Victor Dubuisson
Branden Grace
Soren Kjeldsen
Bernd Wiesberger
Justin Rose
Chris Wood
Tommy Fleetwood
Charl Schwartzel

Top Performers on Par 72s (since 2015)

Branden Grace
Bernd Wiesberger
Alex Noren
Sergio Garcia
Francesco Molinari
Martin Kaymer
Chris Wood
Tyrrell Hatton
Charl Schwartzel
Ross Fisher

Top Performers on Long Courses (since 2015)

Branden Grace
Alex Noren
Victor Dubuisson
Matthew Fitzpatrick
Jeunghun Wang
Ross Fisher
Bernd Wiesberger
Rafa Cabrera Bello
Charl Schwartzel
Martin Kaymer

Top Performers on Easy Courses (since 2015)

Bernd Wiesberger
Justin Rose
Kiradech Aphibarnrat
Chris Wood
Francesco Molinari
Tommy Fleetwood
Branden Grace
Shane Lowry
Alex Noren
Victor Dubuisson

Top Performers on Correlated Courses (since 2015)

Bernd Wiesberger
Tyrrell Hatton
Branden Grace
Martin Kaymer
Rafa Cabrera Bello
Alex Noren
Ross Fisher
Chris Wood
Andy Sullivan
Joost Luiten

Golfers that show up on all EIGHT lists: Branden Grace, Bernd Wiesberger

Golfers that show up on 7-of-8 lists: NONE

Golfers that show up on 6-of-8 lists: Alex Noren, Tyrrell Hatton, Martin Kaymer

Golfers that show up on 5-of-8 lists: Chris Wood, Rafa Cabrera Bello

Golfers that show up on 4-of-8 lists: Ross Fisher, Victor Dubuisson

My Top 25 for the 2017 DP World Tour Championship

1. Branden Grace
2. Bernd Wiesberger
3. Tyrrell Hatton
4. Justin Rose
5. Francesco Molinari
6. Martin Kaymer
7. Sergio Garcia
8. Rafa Cabrera Bello
9. Alex Noren
10. Jon Rahm
11. Charl Schwartzel
12. Chris Wood
13. Patrick Reed
14. Ian Poulter
15. Ross Fisher
16. Shane Lowry
17. Matthew Fitzpatrick
18. Soren Kjeldsen
19. Joost Luiten
20. Lee Westwood
21. Julian Suri
22. Kiradech Aphibarnrat
23. Tommy Fleetwood
24. Thorbjorn Olesen
25. George Coetzee

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