BMW South African Open Fantasy Preview

The Euro Tour returns from a little break this week. The first event upon return is the BMW South African Open held at Glendower GC in South Africa.

The course is a par 72 that stretches out past 7,500 yards. Playing at 5,000 feet of altitude, the course is still on the longer side but will not play as long as the scorecard suggests.

With this long of a layoff, it’s hard to gauge form. I won’t be too picky, but if I haven’t seen anything decent in the last four months, I will gladly pass. If you see someone rank highly on the stats below but they don’t show up in my top 25, it’s probably safe to assume it’s a form concern.

If you remember my previews from last year, I had a correlated course section. I am still rounding up all the data to make it automated but for now, I will only dive deep on the bigger events. For now, we can look at similar course attributes and see who fits the eye test…

Keeping it pretty simple with just four angles, let’s see who plays well on similar setups:

Top Performers on Bentgrass Greens (since 2015)

Branden Grace
Soren Kjeldsen
Chris Wood
Andy Sullivan
Charl Schwartzel
Richard Sterne
Thomas Aiken
Gregory Bourdy
Richard Bland
Mikko Korhonen

Top Performers on Long Courses (since 2015)

Branden Grace
Charl Schwartzel
Thomas Aiken
Gregory Bourdy
Soren Kjeldsen
Chris Wood
Jordan SMITH
Andy Sullivan
Trevor Fisher Jr.
Dean Burmester

Top Performers in Africa (since 2015)

Charl Schwartzel
Branden Grace
Thomas Aiken
Trevor Fisher Jr.
Dean Burmester
George Coetzee
Mikko Korhonen
Richard Sterne
Matthieu Pavon
Graeme Storm

Top Performers on Par 72s (since 2015)

Branden Grace
Chris Wood
Charl Schwartzel
Soren Kjeldsen
Thomas Aiken
Gregory Bourdy
Richard Sterne
Andy Sullivan
Dylan Frittelli
Jordan SMITH

Golfers that show up on all FOUR lists: Charl Schwartzel, Branden Grace, Thomas Aiken

Golfers that show up on 3-of-4 lists: Soren Kjeldsen, Chris Wood, Gregory Bourdy, Richard Sterne, Andy Sullivan

Golfers that show up on 2-of-4 lists: Dean Burmester, Jordan Smith, Mikko Korhonen, Trevor Fisher, Jr.

My Top 25 for the 2018 SA Open

1. Branden Grace
2. Charl Schwartzel
3. Soren Kjeldsen
4. Richard Sterne
5. Andy Sullivan
6. Dylan Frittelli
7. Dean Burmester
8. Gregory Bourdy
9. George Coetzee
10. James Morrison
11. Matthieu Pavon
12. Graeme Storm
13. Thomas Detry
14. Mikko Korhonen
15. Matt Wallace
16. Jamie Donaldson
17. Brandon Stone
18. Erik van Rooyen
19. Aaron Rai
20. David Drysdale
21. Nacho Elvira
22. Ricardo Gouveia
23. Ashley Chesters
24. Jason Scrivener
25. Haydn Porteous

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