Australian PGA Championship Fantasy Preview

While the PGA TOUR has packed their bags for the holidays (at least in terms of official events) the European Tour is still going strong.

In fact, we have a dual-tournament week but DraftKings has chosen the Australian PGA Championship, so that is what I will look at.

As you can tell from the name of the event, we are in Australia this week, set to take on a 7,364 yard, par 72 layout. Just five miles from the coast, winds can wreck havoc at the drop of a hat. That happened last year as we saw the field average 75.5 strokes, nearly three shots higher per round than the year before.

The field is highlighted by a few superstars but the field strength drops off dramatically after the top 5-to-10 golfers.

I’m not enamored by many course correlations this week but a few that pop on the spreadsheet include: BMW PGA Championship, Hong Kong, Nedbank, Open de France, and Lyoness Open.

Let’s see who plays well on similar event setups:

Top Performers on Bermuda Greens (since 2015)

Sergio Garcia
Harold Varner III
Andrew Dodt
Jason Scrivener
Richard Green
Mikko Ilonen
Sam Brazel
Ashley Hall
Ryan Fox
Joakim Lagergren

Top Performers against Weak Fields (since 2015)

Harold Varner III
Wade Ormsby
Jason Scrivener
Chris Hanson
Thomas Detry
Joakim Lagergren
Sergio Garcia
Chris Paisley
Tom Lewis
Mikko Ilonen

Top Performers on Hard Courses (since 2015)

Sergio Garcia
Harold Varner III
Chris Hanson
Lasse Jensen
Tom Lewis
Ashley Hall
Marcus Fraser
Wade Ormsby
Andrew Dodt
Jason Scrivener

Top Performers in the Fall (since 2015)

Sergio Garcia
Harold Varner III
Marc Leishman
Joakim Lagergren
Jason Scrivener
Robert Karlsson
Marcus Fraser
Lasse Jensen
Andrew Dodt
Mikko Ilonen

Top Performers on Par 72s (since 2015)

Sergio Garcia
Harold Varner III
Marc Leishman
Thomas Detry
Joakim Lagergren
Adam Scott
Chris Hanson
Wade Ormsby
Marcus Fraser
Ryan Fox

Top Performers on Correlated Courses (since 2015)

Marc Leishman
Ryan Fox
Sam Brazel
Marcus Fraser
Simon Khan
Thomas Detry
Andrew Dodt
Lasse Jensen
Jason Scrivener
Chris Paisley

Golfers that show up on all SIX lists: NONE

Golfers that show up on 5-of-6 lists: Sergio Garcia, Harold Varner III, Jason Scrivener

Golfers that show up on 4-of-6 lists: Andrew Dodt, Joakim Lagergren, Marcus Fraser

Golfers that show up on 3-of-6 lists: Marc Leishman, Wade Ormsby, Ryan Fox, Lasse Jensen, Chris Hanson, Thomas Detry, Mikko Ilonen

My Top 25 for the 2018 Australian PGA Championship

1. Sergio Garcia
2. Harold Varner III
3. Marc Leishman
4. Joakim Lagergren
5. Thomas Detry
6. Adam Scott
7. Andrew Dodt
8. Cameron Smith
9. Jason Scrivener
10. Wade Ormsby
11. Rhein Gibson
12. Chris Hanson
13. Lasse Jensen
14. Ryan Fox
15. Curtis Luck
16. Sam Brazel
17. Tom Lewis
18. Matthew Griffin
19. Ashley Hall
20. Chris Paisley
21. Marcus Fraser
22. Jonas Blixt
23. Sean Crocker
24. Mikko Ilonen
25. Brett Rumford

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