AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am Fantasy Preview

Phil Mickelson dominated last week and it wasn’t even close. I guess you CAN teach an old dog new tricks. Whether Phil’s new driver will remain consistent is yet to be seen but he was certainly advertising his new club any chance he got last week. I’ve had great weeks with the driver only to not find a fairway the next week. Golf is a funny game. I am also not a professional golfer, so take that with a grain of salt. Moving on, we have the Pebble Beach Pro-Am this week. Pro-Am’s scare me a little because it is easy to lose focus when you are playing with a celebrity/amateur. The courses have to be much shorter in these events as well to accomodate for the non-professionals. That being said, there are still a lot of guys that you can bank on being money when it comes to Pebble Beach.

Phil Mickelson New Driver

Group A: Back in 2005 Phil Mickelson actually won at Scottsdale then followed it up with a win at Pebble Beach. Can he repeat this feat? Even though Phil is very solid at Pebble Beach and he’s already accomplished it once, the odds just aren’t in his favor. Over the past five years, only three golfers have won back-to-back tournaments. Brandt Snedeker is on fire, but he has a poor track record here. It’s not like I am predicting a missed cut, but this would be a decent time to fade this popular pick if you need to save your Snedeker uses for later in the season.

Group B: I will only say it once. Pick Dustin Johnson, or you will regret it. I will be shocked if Johnson doesn’t finish in the Top 5 this week at Pebble. That is saying a lot, considering the parody in golf, but I think he is as safe as it comes.

Group C: Continue to fade “Deerjay” Singh. Wouldn’t be surprised if he withdrew again until this blows over. Robert Garrigus is killing it this year. His three finishes this year are 16th, 6th, and 11th. No reason to expect anything less than a Top 25 again this week. Lee Westwood doesn’t have experience here but he crushes short courses, and crushes in PGA tour events that aren’t majors. I wouldn’t call him a lock by any means due to travel but he should be very solid this week.

Pebble Beach ProAm Yahoo Picks

Keepers

ExpertKeeperWhy the Pick?Last Week
The 19th HoleBrandt SnedekerHe’s had a strong start to the season in his first 4 events: 3, T23, T2, & 2. He’s going to have a letdown eventually, but I don’t see it happening just yet.Martin Kaymer (MC)
Future of FantasyDustin JohnsonDJ owns Pebble Beach and he is playing with papa Gretzky. That means Paulina will likely be at the tournament, remember what happened when she came to Hawaii?Jason Dufner (MC)
We’re Slicers, not HookersAaron BaddeleyAaron is 3/3 on cuts made to start the season with a T6 at the farmers. Good memories at Pebble Beach with a 4th and T6 in his last two appearances it should be more Goodeley than Baddeley this weekend.
Brandt Snedeker (2nd)
Jake GaerPhil MickelsonWire to wire victory last week, new driver that he believes he can control, rediscovered putting stroke, and a four time champion here all point to a sure fire win again this week for the rejuvinated lefty.Bo Van Pelt (16th)

Sleepers

ExpertSleepersWhy the Pick?Last Week
The 19th HoleBryce MolderHe’s only the best Molder since X-Files Scully & Mulder…wait, his name has an ‘o’ not a ‘u’…just like it’s an ‘o’ in golf and not a ‘u’…cause gulf is where oil platforms are which have nothing to do with golf…unless you count Bruce Willis teeing off from one in Armageddon…BOOM, lock it up!Kevin Na (36th)
Future of FantasyTim ClarkTim Clark is the sleeper I keep in my bag whenever the course is short. Not that I'm calling him short or anything, but 5'7" ain't tall. Ben Crane (11th)
We’re Slicers, not HookersBrendon ToddIn his first tournament of the year Brendon will be looking to start the year off on the right side of the ball as he did last year with a T9 at the AT&T.
Matt Every (9th)
Jake GaerBryce MolderHas finished top-25 in two of his three tournaments so far this season, and top ten finishes at this tournament in 2010 and 2011, along with his hot putter could lead to a big payday at PebbleJ.B. Holmes (MC)

My Top 15 for the 2013 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am

1. Dustin Johnson
2. Phil Mickelson
3. Jason Day
4. Robert Garrigus
5. Charlie Wi
6. Tim Clark
7. Luke Guthrie
8. Nick Watney
9. Webb Simpson
10. Brandt Snedeker
11. Jim Furyk
12. Padraig Harrington
13. Lee Westwood
14. Sean O’Hair
15. Retief Goosen

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