2009-10 Top 50 Point Guards

The Point Guard position is not generally one of the deepest, but that may not be the case this year.  In fact, there are about 30 PG’s that I wouldn’t mind having on my team.  Here is how I see them finishing in the 2009-10 Fantasy NBA Season:

1. Chris Paul
2. Brandon Roy
3. Deron Williams
4. Dwyane Wade
5. Jose Calderon    

Notes: I think this is the year B-Roy puts it all together, and becomes an ELITE fantasy player. I’m talking a Top Five player, with Deron Williams right behind him. D-Wade posted a career year last year, after finishing the prior two seasons with only 51 games played. Call me skeptical, because I’m expecting a season with less than 65 games played for D Wade this year. Alot of people are down on Jose Calderon due to his poor pre-season performance. I think a lot can be explained by making adjustments to playing with new players. Within a month, Calderon will be his usual self, if not better.

6. Derrick Rose
7. Devin Harris
8. Joe Johnson
9. Chauncey Billups
10. Rajon Rondo
11. Jason Kidd
12. Mo Williams
13. Gilbert Arenas
14. Russell Westbrook
15. Steve Nash

Notes: A slow start may be in the cards for Derrick Rose due to his injury, but you’re going to be kicking yourself later in the year if you didn’t draft him due to some missed pre-season games. I think Chauncey Billups, J Kidd and Steve Nash all slide quite a bit this year, but they will still be pretty solid in Assists since all of them rely mainly on court vision, rather than athleticism. I’m not sold on the “new-look” Gilbert Arenas. Not more jacking up three-pointers? no more hoggin’ the ball? no more blogging? no more online poker at half-time? Sounds like Hibachi has cooled quite a bit.

16. Jameer Nelson
17. Tony Parker
18. Leandro Barbosa
19. Jason Terry
20. Monta Ellis
21. Mario Chalmers
22. Mike Conley
23. T.J. Ford
24. Ramon Sessions
25. Raymond Felton

Notes: Leandro Barbosa should be very solid with Gentry bringing back the up-tempo Suns. Jason Terry had a monster year last year, setting his career high in 3PM/Game and 2nd highest season in Pts/Game. Don’t expect a repeat performance. Only Chris Paul had more steals over the 2nd Half of the 08-09 season than Mario Chalmers, expect a big Sophomore year. Speaking of 2nd Half performances, Mike Conley was a Top 40 player during the 2nd Half of 2008-09. The arrival of AI may lower expectations slightly, but you should still see Top 60 type numbers out of Conley. A lot of people are worried about Ramon Sessions because of Jonny Flynn, don’t be. Ramon Sessions is the better player, and should see the majority of the minutes, whether it be as a starter or off the bench.

26. Rodney Stuckey
27. Mike Bibby
28. Andre Miller
29. Nate Robinson
30. D.J. Augustin
31. Baron Davis
32. Aaron Brooks
33. Lou Williams
34. James Harden
35. Jamal Crawford

Notes: You don’t trade a fan favorite, franchise player like Chauncey Billups unless you know his backup can come close to replacing him. Even if the trade was made to free up cap space, Rodney Stuckey will be given every opportunity possible to become an All-Star this year. D.J. Augustin is intriguing because he has shown flashes of greatness, but not consistently. Last year he had 10 ten of 20+ points. Look for more consistency this year, and for D.J. to improve his 11.8 pts/game up to 15+. It appears that he may be in for a Jason Terry type of career ahead of him. Aaron Brooks average 1.7 3PM/game and 13 pts/Game in 35 games in which he started last year. Houston will need all the scoring they can get with no Yao or T-Mac. So, while his FG% may be really ugly, don’t be surprised to see averages of 15 pts, 5 asts, and 2 treys per game. I am slightly off the Louis Williams bandwagon this year. Although Eddie Jordan has stated that Lou Will will be given the chance to become a 38 minute player, he doesn’t shoot the 3 ball well, or any ball for that matter, and doesn’t pass the ball very well. Williams will definitely have some monster games, but is generally being taken too early in drafts this year. While not a true PG, James Harden has PG eligibility, and could really excel if he’s given the playing time in OKC this year.

36. Kirk Hinrich
37. Chris Duhon
38. Rudy Fernandez
39. Randy Foye
40. Tyreke Evans
41. Jonny Flynn
42. Allen Iverson
43. Jarrett Jack
44. Stephen Curry
45. Delonte West

Notes: Tyreke Evans should see some extra minutes over the first half of the season with Francisco Garcia missing time. He may be worth a gamble to draft, if you want to pawn him off after a good start to the season. After all, his pre-season has been AWFUL. Another player being taken too early in drafts is Jonny Flynn. He may have the starting role now, but I can’t imagine he plays more minutes than Sessions. I think at the very best Flynn ends up with averages of 12 pts, 4 asts, 1 stl, 0.5 3pm with poor shooting and high turnovers. Let another owner fall into the Flynn hype machine. With Ben Gordon out of the equation, there is a great chance we see Kirk Hinrich become a solid fantasy player once again. I don’t see Allen Iverson returning to fantasy glory, but a small bounce back is very possible in Memphis. Stephen Curry is another overrated rookie. I expect a rough transition period for Curry, this isn’t the Southern Conference anymore, welcome to the NBA. Delonte West has a lot of off the court problems, wouldn’t recommend drafting him unless you want to carry all his baggage.

46. Brandon Jennings
47. Luke Ridnour
48. Steve Blake
49. Beno Udrih
50. Daequan Cook

Notes: The situation in Milwaukee is dicey. Brandon Jennings has through the roof potential, but is being held back by Luke Ridnour. The most likely situation is Jennings scores a lot, but also misses a lot, collects handfuls of assists, but also turns the ball over more than he’d care to share, and then gets put in Scott Skiles doghouse. Luke Ridnour, Steve Blake, and Beno Udrih are all boring Point Guards that will get you decent production when they play , but are also held back by timeshares. Daequan Cook could be a steal if you are looking for 3-Pointers. Between his rookie and sophomore season, Cook improved his 3Pt percentage by 5.5 percent. He finished 15th in total three-pointers made last year, a top 10 finish is very likely this year.

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